Climate Expert von Storch: Why Is Global Warming Stagnating?

Climate Expert von Storch: Why Is Global Warming Stagnating?

(from spiegel.de:)

“Climate experts have long predicted that temperatures would rise in parallel with greenhouse gas emissions. But, for 15 years, they haven’t. In a SPIEGEL interview, meteorologist Hans von Storch discusses how this “puzzle” might force scientists to alter what could be “fundamentally wrong” models. … there may be more extreme weather events, in which a great deal of rain falls from the sky within a short span of time. But since there has been only moderate global warming so far, climate change shouldn’t be playing a major role in any case yet. … So far, no one has been able to provide a compelling answer to why climate change seems to be taking a break. We’re facing a puzzle. Recent CO2 emissions have actually risen even more steeply than we feared. As a result, according to most climate models, we should have seen temperatures rise by around 0.25 degrees Celsius (0.45 degrees Fahrenheit) over the past 10 years. That hasn’t happened. In fact, the increase over the last 15 years was just 0.06 degrees Celsius (0.11 degrees Fahrenheit) — a value very close to zero. This is a serious scientific problem that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will have to confront when it presents its next Assessment Report late next year. … There are two conceivable explanations — and neither is very pleasant for us. The first possibility is that less global warming is occurring than expected because greenhouse gases, especially CO2, have less of an effect than we have assumed. This wouldn’t mean that there is no man-made greenhouse effect, but simply that our effect on climate events is not as great as we have believed. The other possibility is that, in our simulations, we have underestimated how much the climate fluctuates owing to natural causes … The potential acidification of the oceans due to CO2 entering them from the atmosphere. This is a phenomenon that seems sinister to me, perhaps in part because I understand too little about it. But if marine animals are no longer able to form shells and skeletons well, it will affect nutrient cycles in the oceans. And that certainly makes me nervous.”

Well, here is an interesting picture, we have a 15 year period we can not explain with an 11 year solar cycle, but going back to the rapid de-industrialization following the crashes of 2001 and 2007, it could be advisable measuring the impact of peak oil.

Also, here we have the other 206 years solar cycle (guess was 208 for the Mayan,) which landed in a disaster in the year 900, in America, and the small ice age in Europe from 14th to 18th century, here it could be advisable measuring the impact of the industrial revolution, for the later case.

Then we have the glaciation in Greenland in the 12th century, that either made the vikings extincts, or blood relatives of the American Indian, or made them sail back home. Greenland is an interesting thermometer, when is completely covered is an ice age, when is completely green is at the peak of the warm ages.

Then we have the 21k (26k) year cycle, precession, tilting, we have already passed the high tilt small ice stage, and we are dropping down at 1/4 of the way, like 15k years to go to, towards the low tilt big ice stage, but then, why we have the thermometer, Greenland, melting more ? maybe because the temperature not increasing any further, may this stop be insignificant towards the damage already being made at current temperature and CO2 levels ?

And in the case of triggering effects, are we really sure that are linear and not following exponential patterns ? There are other examples in nature where radiation accumulate, up to a critical level, here is not, at the current state of the art, that we can just move to another planet and ignore consequences.

And what about Milankovitch, based on past data we could have dropped in another ice age yesterday, or in 5k years, but presumably almost certainly within 10k years, we should be preparing to an inconvenient truth, global warming may be the trigger of ice ages ?.

Then, what about extinctions ? Those are not periodical, apparently, and some and some others in science and in more mundane information, seem to suggest we are going there ? or not ?

Now here we could look at an interesting question, are we using geographic coordinates or grid coordinates to assemble all those data ?, if I had to look at it, would think grid coordinates would make way more sense in the big picture, or not ?

And the “real” long term issue of “sustainability” does not end here. The “energetic inefficiency under thermodynamics,” of the whole human Sumerian holy usury shiny object monetary social system, (less than 10%,) is caused notoriously by the predatory and domination dogma of rackets of usury social leeches that promote over-depletion, and fantasies of holy pigs in the sky that promote over-procreation and genocide for the benefit of their “architects,” those being not only social leeches but also criminal rackets.

In so, regardless of how we could look at more universal grand gardener tasks of wiping out civilizations of superstitious bloody thirsty rackets of economics and religious dumb-ass monkeys, with our nail-head sized monkey brains, do not those “efficient idiots” promoting more fossil fuel burning, realize that finite resources are subject to depletion ?

“And” the human food chain starts in the oceans and ends in the oceans, in so life may have began and life on earth may end. The situation of acidification and oceans predation, is worrisome and it can not be excluded that some planetary species extinctions are connected.

So I’m inviting everybody to look more realistically at those issues, it does not make a bit of a difference whether we are warming, staying the same, or cooling, at this stage, the same conservative approach of stopping burning fuels has a gazillon of other reasons to be implemented anyhow, if we just care of avoiding “extinction,” a possibility many other e.g. here seem to point to.

In so the only reasonable effort, is looking at the need of wiping out the faulty culture that burns irreplaceable fuel and over-reproduces for predatory purpose. Such primitive leadership of incompetent retards “has to go,” with them the whole quackeries of “religions,” “economics,” and other “political” voodoo.

Unless we are planning on going extinct over religious and economics predatory “cult of death” quackeries, it is time for a planetary change towards social sanity, and technocracy, dictatorships of majority such as plutocratic democracies, are not going to make it, the planet cares less of our self referent stupid dogma.

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